Tropical storm watch issued for Palm Beach County

Pablo Tucker
September 12, 2020

The winds will likely strike coastal areas from Florida's panhandle to Louisiana as the storm moves across the Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical Storm Paulette could take aim at Bermuda as a hurricane on Monday.

As of Friday morning, the National Hurricane Center says Paulette is now 1,280 km east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, packing maximum sustained winds near 100 km/h, with higher gusts. Paulette is expected to become a hurricane sometime on Saturday.

Swells generated by Paulette are expected to reach portions of the Leeward Islands Thursday night and Friday and will continue to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas and Bermuda into the weekend.

Rene, meanwhile, is weakening. Its maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 km/h, with higher gusts.

As it does become better organized, forecast models will do better at picking up how strong it will get and where it will go.

"Rene is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 m.p.h".

NHC forecasters say that a turn toward the west-northwest is expected later today. A broad area of low pressure could be forming between the northwestern Bahamas and South Florida. It will move across South Florida tonight and Saturday before moving back out over the Gulf by Saturday night.

Weather maps show TD19 isn't far behind a second tropical system already in the Gulf. The uncertainty in the track forecast is much larger than normal after 48 hours, as small changes in the forecast steering flow could result in this system moving over the northern Gulf Coast faster and to the northeast of what is shown here. Nineteen is also moving west-northwest at 8 miles per hour.

Up to four inches of rain is expected as TD 19 moves over south Florida, and then away from us.

Forecasters say the disturbance could form into a tropical storm by next week. The chances of development over the next five days is 40 per cent.

For today, we will be dodging some passing downpours from time to time.

Another factor that comes into play is that we typically have less wind shear in the pattern this time of year. But some are beginning to show a hurricane in the Gulf by Monday evening.

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