England's COVID-19 infections doubling each week

Henrietta Brewer
September 13, 2020

Professor Paul Elliott, director of research at Imperial College London, has made clear "information on the trend of corona virus infections" where cases are growing rapidly across the United Kingdom and are "no longer focused on key workers". It needs to be below one to prevent the virus spreading.

It is estimated that there has been no increase in cases in Wales in a single week.

However the virus is still at much lower levels than at the peak of the pandemic in April.

It is the latest area of England to introduce stricter lockdown measures, with the rising number of cases prompting Prime Minister Boris Johnson to announce earlier this week there would be new restrictions on social gatherings, saying there was a clear need to act.

Matt Hancock, the health secretary, said: "We've seen all across the world how a rise in cases, initially among younger people, leads to hospitalisations and fatalities". This is a critical time and it's vital that the public, our health system and policymakers are aware of the situation as we can not afford complacency'.

"The more people wash their hands and practice social distance - especially the weaker ones and the surroundings - the less deaths and disease we will see", she said. It is vital you engage with NHS Test and Trace service if contacted to provide details of your close contacts and self-isolate if you are asked to do so'.

The study does not cover people staying in hospitals or care homes - only in the community.


Infection is highest in Yorkshire and the Humber, the North East and the North West.

He said there was evidence of a "community epidemic" that was not the result of testing more people.

Actual study More than 150,000 volunteers in England, one of three new sources of statistics at the community level, received "rapid transmission" in late August and early September.

Overall prevalence of infection in the community was 0.13%, or 13 people per 10,000.

Black, Asian, mixed and other ethnicity was associated with higher prevalence of infection at 0.20%, 0.20%, 0.16% and 0.23% respectively compared with white ethnicity at 0.08%.

There were increases in positive cases in all age groups up to age 65, with the highest growth rates in the 18-24 age group.

There were no significant differences between the prevalence of infection for key workers and non-key workers.


The prevalence of infection increased at all ages from 18-64 years between July and August 2020.

65% of participants who tested positive did not report any symptoms at the time of swabbing or in the previous 7 days.

"These results highlight how important it is for us to continue monitoring COVID-19 infections in the country".

"It was very high, we had the lockdown, it came down during May, continued to go down into August into really quite low levels".

If it is more than one, as now, the number of victims is increasing.

"This is a massive blow to the government's strategy to contain the spread of COVID-19", said Simon Clarke, an expert in cellular microbiology at Britain's University of Reading. I would like to thank all those who have taken part for their invaluable contribution.

The study was commissioned by the Department of Health and Social Care and carried out by researchers at Imperial College London, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust and Ipsos Mori.


The third set of numbers, taken from the COVID-19 Symptom Study app, which tracks the health of almost four million people in the United Kingdom, indicates a growth in new cases since the end of August - the first time since mid-June.

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