NOAA: Tropical Depression 11 Track, Spaghetti Models

Pablo Tucker
August 12, 2020

Eastern Daylight Time on Tuesday, August 11, 2020, due to the presence of Tropical Depression Eleven (formerly Invest 95L) that is tracking toward the Caribbean.

Tropical Depression 11 is located about 1450 miles east of the Lesser Antilles and is moving to the west at 16 mph (26 km/h). Instead of the 13 to 19 named storms it predicted earlier in the year, NOAA said it now expects 19 to 25 named storms, the most it has ever predicted.

The NHC says there is a 90 per cent chance the disturbance may form into a full-fledged tropical storm within the next two days.

The storm is expected to take a west, and then northeastern track, and by Sunday afternoon it will weaken, potentially back into a tropical depression while moving away from the U.S. Mainland. A west-northwestward motion is forecast to begin Wednesday night and continue through the rest of the week.

The system, Tropical Depression Eleven, is packing 35 miles per hour winds and moving west at 16 miles per hour, according to NHC's update released a little after 4:30 p.m. Tuesday.

Since this is expected to become Tropical Storm Josephine, it would be the tenth named storm of an already active season.

Spaghetti models for tropical depression 11.

The Met Office said strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a Tropical Storm by Wednesday night.

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