Tropical disturbance developing in the Bay of Campeche

Pablo Tucker
June 6, 2019

A broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity over the Bay of Campeche.

If the storm becomes a tropical storm it will be the second season with the name "Barry".

The recent flair up of thunderstorms now in the southwest Gulf is over a June hotspot for tropical cyclone storm formation.

The official hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin began Saturday, 1 June, and ends 30 November, with the traditional peak occurring from August to October.

Computer models are in general agreement that Invest 91L will move northwestward along the coast of Mexico.

A disturbance off Mexico has a 60 percent chance of a cyclone formation in the next two days, according to the National Hurricane Center.

"Regardless of whether it will receive the name or not, the storm will bring heavy rain to the coast", said Dean.

The NHC says it could become a tropical cyclone before it moves inland into Mexico early in the week.

Should the feature manage to stay offshore and take a more northward track, perhaps paralleling the Mexico and South Texas coast, the chance of development to a tropical storm may be significantly greater.

Heavy rainfall is the primary weather threat.

At the very least it is a reminder that hurricane season has started.

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