National Basketball Association draft lottery deep dive - Rankings, odds and intel

Ross Houston
May 14, 2019

The 2019 NBA Draft lottery will take place on May 14, 2019.

The good thing for the Wolves - who finished 36-46, the 10th-worst record in the league - is that this year the National Basketball Association has enacted changes it passed for the lottery in September 2017.

This year, the three teams with the lowest records in the league get the same odds at the number one overall pick.


In an NBA press release on May 8, there were 66 players invited to the 2019 NBA Draft Combine which is set to transpire on May 15. It flattened the odds at the top so that the worst three teams each have a 14% chance of the top pick.

"I think it's deeper than what people say", Riley said of this year's draft. Boston will get Memphis' first-round pick should it fall out of the top eight.

The Lakers' odds - determined by a random selection of numerical combinations at the Lottery - are as followed: First: 2.0% Second: 2.2% Third: 2.4% Fourth: 2.8% 11th: 77.6% 12th: 12.6% 13th: 0.4%. The Cavaliers also overcame the odds in 2011 when it jumped from the eighth seed (2.8 percent chance) to the top pick, and the Bulls went from the ninth seed (1.7 percent chance) to the No. 1 pick in 2008. That was because the first three picks were the only ones determined by the lottery.


Miami enters the lottery with a 90.6 percent chance of coming away with the No. 13 selection and a 4.7 percent chance of securing a top-four pick, with only the first four selections randomly drawn and the remaining lottery teams picking in inverse order of their 2018-19 records. That gives an 86 percent chance for someone like Ja Morant, RJ Barrett, Jarrett Culver or De'Andre Hunter to become the pick. But no teams are more desperate for the once-in-a-generation player than the Phoenix Suns and the New York Knicks.

Even if the Pelicans aren't as lucky and end up selecting in the 7-10 range, there are still plenty of answers for this team. Of course, the Mavs were the recipients of the league trying to figure out the best way to do the draft lottery.

However, if Davis is out the door, the team could always package some of the assets it gets in return from dealing its superstar to move up in the draft and try to lock in the next franchise player. More to come as the NBA Draft Lottery results near.


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