Pompeo's Iran Plan Is a Pipe Dream

Andrew Cummings
May 22, 2018

President Trump announced in early May the USA would withdraw from the accord.

Iran foe Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu hailed Pompeo's speech, and urged the rest of the world to follow suit.

"We are not asking anything other than that Iranian behavior be consistent with global norms", Pompeo said. "I'm not totally pessimistic about the situation".

British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson at Palacio San Martin during the G20 foreign ministers' meeting on May 21, 2018, in Buenos Aires. "It might take more time, but we will not do away with it".

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo

On July 14, 2015, the P5+1 countries - the United States, Russia, China, France and the United Kingdom plus Germany - and the European Union signed the nuclear agreement with Iran. He didn't specify how he would convince the European allies to go along with the US plan.

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo demanded Iran makes sweeping changes, warning the regime that US sanctions would "only grow more painful" if they do not change their ways. The five other major powers have committed to adhering to the deal, with the European Union considering legislation that will nullify the effects of US sanctions on foreign companies that continue doing business with Iran. Last week, the French energy company Total said it would be forced to end a multi-billion dollar project in Iran unless it receives a sanctions waiver by November. Kochi said that numerous European companies are private entities and have shareholders in the United States.

At the same time, the founding director of the Democracy Institute said that Iran would be unwilling to renegotiate the nuclear deal as it is satisfied with the existing terms.

"We welcome any nation which is sick and exhausted of the nuclear threats, the terrorism, the missile proliferation and the brutality of a regime at peace with inflicting chaos on innocent people", he said. "Next year marks the 40th anniversary of the Islamic Republic, the revolution in Iran", he said. "But everyone is going to have to participate in this".

"I'm afraid that Pompeo is substituting ultimatums for diplomacy", said Jamal Abdi of the National Iranian American Council.

However, Pompeo did not explicitly outline the pressure campaign the US intends to use to bring Iran to the negotiating table, nor did he outline a timeline for achieving his stated goals.

Unless such a treaty can be reached, Pompeo warned that Iran would face tough sanctions that would leave it "battling to keep its economy alive". "It will not have the resources to do both", Pompeo said.

So does Iran because, instead of taking returned billions and putting them into its economy, it put them into military buildup and support of terrorism. But acknowledge that they can not force big companies to change their own economic calculation. Pompeo says that deal was a loser. While past US presidents sanctioned Iran for a variety of bad behavior - ranging from its sponsorship of terrorism to its human rights abuses - Obama by his second term offered to lift the most biting ones in exchange for nuclear concessions. First, the White House indicated to USA allies that the deal could be saved but never undertook serious efforts to broker a supplemental agreement.

Trump also said he would reinstate United States nuclear sanctions on Iran and impose "the highest level" of economic bans on the Islamic Republic.

"There is no assurance on how this is going to be amazingly effective". Pompeo's Iran strategy is "basically sanctions on steroids, and appealing to the Iranian public", Dennis Ross, who worked for five Republican and Democratic administrations and is now a fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, tweeted.

"Iran rejects the allegations and lies in this so-called new strategy and condemns the US Secretary of State's. open interference in its internal affairs and the unlawful threats against a United Nations member state", read the statement.

Other reports by iNewsToday