German election: Polls, parties and probable coalition

Carla Harmon
September 19, 2017

However, as the union parties will nearly certainly not win an actual majority of seats in the parliament, they will need to find at least one coalition partner. This is following a strong performance in the much-anticipated TV debate with Martin Schulz on 3 September.

After a cycle of nail-biting elections spanning from America's Trump victory in November 2016, near-populist victories in France and the Netherlands, and finally June's backfiring British elections, the German federal elections are shaping up to look like a bore.

The remarks suggest a hardening of Germany's line on the right-wing Hungarian government of Viktor Orban, who has been outspoken in his opposition to an agreement that each European Union country should agree to take in a quota of refugees.

In the case of Germany, despite criticism of Merkel's open-door policy that has allowed the entry of almost one million asylum seekers - and the social disruption and tension that followed - Merkel has held firm in accepting the burden and heavy cost of such a massive flow of people seeking to flee the violence in the Middle East and elsewhere. It is the world's leading industrial nation in a number of sectors, including automotive, life sciences, agri-tech, software and engineering services. Perhaps the principal reason for Germany's dominance in the European Union is its net contribution to the European Union budget, some 14.5 billion euros net in 2015, dwarfing all others except the UK.

Alternative for Germany co-leader Alexander Gauland told reporters that "Islam is also a political doctrine" and as such "is incompatible with a free democratic order".


"Under the surface there is an urge for change in Germany", Hoffmann says, "and this was shown in the beginning of the year when Martin Schulz entered the political arena".

Merkel "bears a good bit of the blame for all this".

"(He) insists on calling Merkel all the time", Schaeuble said in June. There must be a vision and an agenda for which the German Chancellor stands. Indeed, she was one of the first European leaders to pinpoint Ireland's situation as a priority for the first phase of negotiations with the UK. When the German voters cast their ballots next Sunday, in the forefront of their minds will be that since Merkel became their chancellor in 2005 unemployment has halved, and in terms of growth the country has outperformed most of its Eurozone partners. "We're going into this election without saying anything about coalitions". At a time when many in Europe are divided over questions of immigration and economic integration on the continent, the status quo in Germany is nearly guaranteed to prevail.

"China has taken an important leadership role securing the Paris climate accord - something we applaud", added Hardt, who has accompanied Merkel to China on some of her annual trips there even though his focus is transatlantic.

"So German companies are used to accepting political decisions". Her Indian counterpart, PM Modi has faced similar domestic and regional challenges, but emerged as a promising leader, representative of strong national aspirations.


Merkel's right simply wants restrictions.

Merkel, who is 63 and doesn't have any children of her own, seemed to enjoy the kids' interest so much that she extended the question time, danced with the youngsters to pop music and invited all of them to pose for a photo with her — much to the surprise of her fluttered aides. As a result, a coalition between the CDU and the FDP would be the desirable outcome for the British government.

However, the SDP continues to fall. "In recent years, her party has grudgingly agreed to ever more left policies being incorporated into the CDU party program for the sake of staying in power". This was the arrangement from 2009-2013.

On the other side, if the Greens were to be part of the next coalition, they could pull Merkel more to the left.


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